CLE vs CHI
Match Context
CLE come into this game at 5-8, on a 4-game losing streak. CHI sit at 9-3, on a 2-game winning streak.
CHI carry a 1549.9 Elo rating to CLE's 1468.3, a gap of 82.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with CHI winning 1 to CLE's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
CLE win: 29.4%
CHI win: 70.6%
Predicted winner: CHI
Total Points
Under 43.5
Model confidence: 50.6%
CLE: Over 19.5 (50.2%) · CHI: Over 23.5 (51.1%)
Spread
CHI -5.5
Model confidence: 46.3%
Home line: CHI -5.5
Form & Streak
CLE: 5-8 this sample, lost 4 straight
CHI: 9-3 this sample, won 2 straight
Elo Rating
CLE: 1468.3 · CHI: 1549.9
Head-to-Head
CHI 1 – 0 CLE (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
CHI is favoured on team strength — rated 82 Elo points higher than CLE from recent completed games.
Model spread: CHI -5.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.