Chicago Bears vs Cincinnati Bengals
Match Context
Chicago Bears come into this game at 9-3, on a 2-game winning streak. Cincinnati Bengals sit at 6-7, on a 2-game winning streak.
Cincinnati Bengals carry a 1499.7 Elo rating to Chicago Bears's 1549.9, a gap of 50.0 points.
These two haven't met in the data this model was trained on, so the prediction is Elo-and-form-only, with no head-to-head input.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Chicago Bears win: 49.3%
Cincinnati Bengals win: 50.7%
Predicted winner: Cincinnati Bengals
Total Points
Under 48.5
Model confidence: 50.9%
Chicago Bears: Over 26.5 (50.8%) · Cincinnati Bengals: Over 21.5 (50.2%)
Spread
CIN -0.5
Model confidence: 33.8%
Home line: Cincinnati Bengals -0.5
Form & Streak
Chicago Bears: 9-3 this sample, won 2 straight
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-7 this sample, won 2 straight
Elo Rating
Chicago Bears: 1549.9 · Cincinnati Bengals: 1499.7
Head-to-Head
No previous meetings on record -- prediction is Elo-only.
Prediction Insights
This is a coin-flip moneyline (CIN 51% / CHI 49%). NFL winners are noisy — prefer totals or the spread.
CIN is favoured on team strength — rated 50 Elo points higher than CHI from recent completed games.
Model spread: CIN -0.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.