GB vs DEN

Match Context

GB come into this game at 8-6, on a 3-game losing streak. DEN sit at 8-3, on a 1-game losing streak.

DEN carry a 1541.9 Elo rating to GB's 1517.1, a gap of 25.0 points.

These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with DEN winning 1 to GB's 0.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

GB win: 36.2%

DEN win: 63.8%

Predicted winner: DEN

Total Points

Under 42.5

Model confidence: 50.3%

GB: Under 20.5 (51.2%) · DEN: Under 22.5 (51.2%)

Spread

DEN -3

Model confidence: 47.0%

Home line: DEN -3.0

Form & Streak

GB: 8-6 this sample, lost 3 straight

DEN: 8-3 this sample, lost 1 straight

Elo Rating

GB: 1517.1 · DEN: 1541.9

Head-to-Head

DEN 1 – 0 GB (1 meeting)

Prediction Insights

Model spread: DEN -3 (home-field Elo folded in).

Educational estimate — not betting advice.