GB vs DEN
Match Context
GB come into this game at 8-6, on a 3-game losing streak. DEN sit at 8-3, on a 1-game losing streak.
DEN carry a 1541.9 Elo rating to GB's 1517.1, a gap of 25.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with DEN winning 1 to GB's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
GB win: 36.2%
DEN win: 63.8%
Predicted winner: DEN
Total Points
Under 42.5
Model confidence: 50.3%
GB: Under 20.5 (51.2%) · DEN: Under 22.5 (51.2%)
Spread
DEN -3
Model confidence: 47.0%
Home line: DEN -3.0
Form & Streak
GB: 8-6 this sample, lost 3 straight
DEN: 8-3 this sample, lost 1 straight
Elo Rating
GB: 1517.1 · DEN: 1541.9
Head-to-Head
DEN 1 – 0 GB (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
Model spread: DEN -3 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.