Green Bay Packers vs Denver Broncos
Match Context
Green Bay Packers come into this game at 8-6, on a 3-game losing streak. Denver Broncos sit at 8-3, on a 1-game losing streak.
Denver Broncos carry a 1541.9 Elo rating to Green Bay Packers's 1517.1, a gap of 25.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with Denver Broncos winning 1 to Green Bay Packers's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Green Bay Packers win: 35.4%
Denver Broncos win: 64.6%
Predicted winner: Denver Broncos
Total Points
Under 42.5
Model confidence: 50.3%
Green Bay Packers: Under 20.5 (51.2%) · Denver Broncos: Under 22.5 (51.2%)
Spread
DEN -3
Model confidence: 47.0%
Home line: Denver Broncos -3.0
Form & Streak
Green Bay Packers: 8-6 this sample, lost 3 straight
Denver Broncos: 8-3 this sample, lost 1 straight
Elo Rating
Green Bay Packers: 1517.1 · Denver Broncos: 1541.9
Head-to-Head
Denver Broncos 1 – 0 Green Bay Packers (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
Model spread: DEN -3 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.