Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions
Match Context
Washington Commanders come into this game at 3-10, on a 1-game losing streak. Detroit Lions sit at 6-8, on a 2-game losing streak.
Detroit Lions carry a 1486.1 Elo rating to Washington Commanders's 1439.1, a gap of 47.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with Detroit Lions winning 1 to Washington Commanders's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Washington Commanders win: 33.6%
Detroit Lions win: 66.4%
Predicted winner: Detroit Lions
Total Points
Under 49.5
Model confidence: 50.9%
Washington Commanders: Under 22.5 (50.4%) · Detroit Lions: Over 26.5 (51.2%)
Spread
DET -4
Model confidence: 51.2%
Home line: Detroit Lions -4.0
Form & Streak
Washington Commanders: 3-10 this sample, lost 1 straight
Detroit Lions: 6-8 this sample, lost 2 straight
Elo Rating
Washington Commanders: 1439.1 · Detroit Lions: 1486.1
Head-to-Head
Detroit Lions 1 – 0 Washington Commanders (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
DET is favoured on team strength — rated 47 Elo points higher than WSH from recent completed games.
Model spread: DET -4 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.