Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers
Match Context
Arizona Cardinals come into this game at 5-11, on a 1-game winning streak. Green Bay Packers sit at 8-6, on a 3-game losing streak.
Green Bay Packers carry a 1517.1 Elo rating to Arizona Cardinals's 1441.3, a gap of 76.0 points.
These two haven't met in the data this model was trained on, so the prediction is Elo-and-form-only, with no head-to-head input.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Arizona Cardinals win: 34.4%
Green Bay Packers win: 65.6%
Predicted winner: Green Bay Packers
Total Points
Over 42.5
Model confidence: 51.2%
Arizona Cardinals: Over 19.5 (50.8%) · Green Bay Packers: Under 23.5 (51.2%)
Spread
GB -5
Model confidence: 45.6%
Home line: Green Bay Packers -5.0
Form & Streak
Arizona Cardinals: 5-11 this sample, won 1 straight
Green Bay Packers: 8-6 this sample, lost 3 straight
Elo Rating
Arizona Cardinals: 1441.3 · Green Bay Packers: 1517.1
Head-to-Head
No previous meetings on record -- prediction is Elo-only.
Prediction Insights
GB is favoured on team strength — rated 76 Elo points higher than ARI from recent completed games.
GB is on form, having lost 3 straight.
Model spread: GB -5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.