Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans
Match Context
Las Vegas Raiders come into this game at 1-10, on a 8-game losing streak. Houston Texans sit at 8-5, on a 1-game losing streak.
Houston Texans carry a 1528.8 Elo rating to Las Vegas Raiders's 1419.0, a gap of 110.0 points.
These two haven't met in the data this model was trained on, so the prediction is Elo-and-form-only, with no head-to-head input.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Las Vegas Raiders win: 27.3%
Houston Texans win: 72.7%
Predicted winner: Houston Texans
Total Points
Under 38.5
Model confidence: 50.6%
Las Vegas Raiders: Over 15.5 (50.4%) · Houston Texans: Over 22.5 (50.9%)
Spread
HOU -6.5
Model confidence: 51.8%
Home line: Houston Texans -6.5
Form & Streak
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-10 this sample, lost 8 straight
Houston Texans: 8-5 this sample, lost 1 straight
Elo Rating
Las Vegas Raiders: 1419.0 · Houston Texans: 1528.8
Head-to-Head
No previous meetings on record -- prediction is Elo-only.
Prediction Insights
HOU is favoured on team strength — rated 110 Elo points higher than LV from recent completed games.
Projected total of 38.3 points leans toward a lower-scoring game.
Model spread: HOU -6.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.