ATL vs IND

Match Context

ATL come into this game at 5-9, on a 2-game winning streak. IND sit at 5-6, on a 4-game losing streak.

IND carry a 1493.9 Elo rating to ATL's 1470.2, a gap of 24.0 points.

These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with IND winning 1 to ATL's 0.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

ATL win: 38.1%

IND win: 61.9%

Predicted winner: IND

Total Points

Under 45.5

Model confidence: 51.5%

ATL: Over 20.5 (50.4%) · IND: Under 24.5 (50.6%)

Spread

IND -3

Model confidence: 52.2%

Home line: IND -3.0

Form & Streak

ATL: 5-9 this sample, won 2 straight

IND: 5-6 this sample, lost 4 straight

Elo Rating

ATL: 1470.2 · IND: 1493.9

Head-to-Head

IND 1 – 0 ATL (1 meeting)

Prediction Insights

IND is on form, having lost 4 straight.

Model spread: IND -3 (home-field Elo folded in).

Educational estimate — not betting advice.