ARI vs LV
Match Context
ARI come into this game at 5-11, on a 1-game winning streak. LV sit at 1-10, on a 8-game losing streak.
LV carry a 1419.0 Elo rating to ARI's 1441.3, a gap of 22.0 points.
These two have met 2 times in the data this model was trained on, with LV winning 0 to ARI's 2.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
ARI win: 55.6%
LV win: 44.4%
Predicted winner: ARI
Total Points
Over 43.5
Model confidence: 50.0%
ARI: Under 23.5 (51.6%) · LV: Under 20.5 (50.4%)
Spread
LV -1.5
Model confidence: 37.8%
Home line: LV -1.5
Form & Streak
ARI: 5-11 this sample, won 1 straight
LV: 1-10 this sample, lost 8 straight
Elo Rating
ARI: 1441.3 · LV: 1419.0
Head-to-Head
LV 0 – 2 ARI (2 meetings)
Prediction Insights
This is a coin-flip moneyline (ARI 56% / LV 44%). NFL winners are noisy — prefer totals or the spread.
Model spread: LV -1.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.