Arizona Cardinals vs Las Vegas Raiders
Match Context
Arizona Cardinals come into this game at 5-11, on a 1-game winning streak. Las Vegas Raiders sit at 1-10, on a 8-game losing streak.
Las Vegas Raiders carry a 1419.0 Elo rating to Arizona Cardinals's 1441.3, a gap of 22.0 points.
These two have met 2 times in the data this model was trained on, with Las Vegas Raiders winning 0 to Arizona Cardinals's 2.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Arizona Cardinals win: 56.5%
Las Vegas Raiders win: 43.5%
Predicted winner: Arizona Cardinals
Total Points
Over 43.5
Model confidence: 50.0%
Arizona Cardinals: Under 23.5 (51.6%) · Las Vegas Raiders: Under 20.5 (50.4%)
Spread
LV -1.5
Model confidence: 37.8%
Home line: Las Vegas Raiders -1.5
Form & Streak
Arizona Cardinals: 5-11 this sample, won 1 straight
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-10 this sample, lost 8 straight
Elo Rating
Arizona Cardinals: 1441.3 · Las Vegas Raiders: 1419.0
Head-to-Head
Las Vegas Raiders 0 – 2 Arizona Cardinals (2 meetings)
Prediction Insights
This is a coin-flip moneyline (ARI 56% / LV 44%). NFL winners are noisy — prefer totals or the spread.
Model spread: LV -1.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.