San Francisco 49ers vs Las Vegas Raiders
Match Context
San Francisco 49ers come into this game at 9-3, on a 1-game losing streak. Las Vegas Raiders sit at 1-10, on a 8-game losing streak.
Las Vegas Raiders carry a 1419.0 Elo rating to San Francisco 49ers's 1546.3, a gap of 127.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with Las Vegas Raiders winning 0 to San Francisco 49ers's 1.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
San Francisco 49ers win: 63.7%
Las Vegas Raiders win: 36.3%
Predicted winner: San Francisco 49ers
Total Points
Under 42.5
Model confidence: 50.9%
San Francisco 49ers: Over 24.5 (50.6%) · Las Vegas Raiders: Over 17.5 (50.2%)
Spread
SF -3
Model confidence: 62.0%
Home line: Las Vegas Raiders 3.0
Form & Streak
San Francisco 49ers: 9-3 this sample, lost 1 straight
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-10 this sample, lost 8 straight
Elo Rating
San Francisco 49ers: 1546.3 · Las Vegas Raiders: 1419.0
Head-to-Head
Las Vegas Raiders 0 – 1 San Francisco 49ers (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
SF is favoured on team strength — rated 127 Elo points higher than LV from recent completed games.
Model spread: SF -3 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.