NYG vs NYJ
Match Context
NYG come into this game at 3-9, on a 9-game losing streak. NYJ sit at 3-10, on a 3-game losing streak.
NYJ carry a 1442.5 Elo rating to NYG's 1438.7, a gap of 4.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with NYJ winning 0 to NYG's 1.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
NYG win: 45.9%
NYJ win: 54.1%
Predicted winner: NYJ
Total Points
Over 46.5
Model confidence: 50.9%
NYG: Under 25.5 (51.1%) · NYJ: Over 21.5 (50.1%)
Spread
NYJ -2.5
Model confidence: 32.3%
Home line: NYJ -2.5
Form & Streak
NYG: 3-9 this sample, lost 9 straight
NYJ: 3-10 this sample, lost 3 straight
Elo Rating
NYG: 1438.7 · NYJ: 1442.5
Head-to-Head
NYJ 0 – 1 NYG (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
This is a coin-flip moneyline (NYJ 54% / NYG 46%). NFL winners are noisy — prefer totals or the spread.
NYJ is on form, having lost 3 straight.
Model spread: NYJ -2.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.