CIN vs PHI

Match Context

CIN come into this game at 6-7, on a 2-game winning streak. PHI sit at 9-4, on a 2-game winning streak.

PHI carry a 1538.4 Elo rating to CIN's 1499.7, a gap of 39.0 points.

These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with PHI winning 1 to CIN's 0.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

CIN win: 35.5%

PHI win: 64.5%

Predicted winner: PHI

Total Points

Over 44.5

Model confidence: 50.6%

CIN: Under 20.5 (51.7%) · PHI: Over 24.5 (50.3%)

Spread

PHI -3.5

Model confidence: 53.0%

Home line: PHI -3.5

Form & Streak

CIN: 6-7 this sample, won 2 straight

PHI: 9-4 this sample, won 2 straight

Elo Rating

CIN: 1499.7 · PHI: 1538.4

Head-to-Head

PHI 1 – 0 CIN (1 meeting)

Prediction Insights

Model spread: PHI -3.5 (home-field Elo folded in).

Educational estimate — not betting advice.