CIN vs PHI
Match Context
CIN come into this game at 6-7, on a 2-game winning streak. PHI sit at 9-4, on a 2-game winning streak.
PHI carry a 1538.4 Elo rating to CIN's 1499.7, a gap of 39.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with PHI winning 1 to CIN's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
CIN win: 35.5%
PHI win: 64.5%
Predicted winner: PHI
Total Points
Over 44.5
Model confidence: 50.6%
CIN: Under 20.5 (51.7%) · PHI: Over 24.5 (50.3%)
Spread
PHI -3.5
Model confidence: 53.0%
Home line: PHI -3.5
Form & Streak
CIN: 6-7 this sample, won 2 straight
PHI: 9-4 this sample, won 2 straight
Elo Rating
CIN: 1499.7 · PHI: 1538.4
Head-to-Head
PHI 1 – 0 CIN (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
Model spread: PHI -3.5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.