GB vs PIT
Match Context
GB come into this game at 8-6, on a 3-game losing streak. PIT sit at 9-5, on a 3-game winning streak.
PIT carry a 1537.1 Elo rating to GB's 1517.1, a gap of 20.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with PIT winning 1 to GB's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
GB win: 35.6%
PIT win: 64.4%
Predicted winner: PIT
Total Points
Over 41.5
Model confidence: 50.0%
GB: Over 20.5 (50.0%) · PIT: Over 20.5 (51.8%)
Spread
PIT -3
Model confidence: 42.5%
Home line: PIT -3.0
Form & Streak
GB: 8-6 this sample, lost 3 straight
PIT: 9-5 this sample, won 3 straight
Elo Rating
GB: 1517.1 · PIT: 1537.1
Head-to-Head
PIT 1 – 0 GB (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
PIT is on form, having won 3 straight.
Model spread: PIT -3 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.