NYJ vs PIT
Match Context
NYJ come into this game at 3-10, on a 3-game losing streak. PIT sit at 9-5, on a 3-game winning streak.
PIT carry a 1537.1 Elo rating to NYJ's 1442.5, a gap of 95.0 points.
These two have met 1 time in the data this model was trained on, with PIT winning 1 to NYJ's 0.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
NYJ win: 26.7%
PIT win: 73.3%
Predicted winner: PIT
Total Points
Over 44.5
Model confidence: 51.2%
NYJ: Over 19.5 (50.6%) · PIT: Under 25.5 (50.9%)
Spread
PIT -6
Model confidence: 48.8%
Home line: PIT -6.0
Form & Streak
NYJ: 3-10 this sample, lost 3 straight
PIT: 9-5 this sample, won 3 straight
Elo Rating
NYJ: 1442.5 · PIT: 1537.1
Head-to-Head
PIT 1 – 0 NYJ (1 meeting)
Prediction Insights
PIT is favoured on team strength — rated 95 Elo points higher than NYJ from recent completed games.
PIT is on form, having won 3 straight.
Model spread: PIT -6 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.