TEN vs SF
Match Context
TEN come into this game at 5-8, on a 2-game winning streak. SF sit at 9-3, on a 1-game losing streak.
SF carry a 1546.3 Elo rating to TEN's 1478.5, a gap of 68.0 points.
These two have met 2 times in the data this model was trained on, with SF winning 1 to TEN's 1.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from recent completed games -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
TEN win: 38.3%
SF win: 61.7%
Predicted winner: SF
Total Points
Over 43.5
Model confidence: 50.0%
TEN: Over 19.5 (50.4%) · SF: Over 23.5 (51.6%)
Spread
SF -5
Model confidence: 48.0%
Home line: SF -5.0
Form & Streak
TEN: 5-8 this sample, won 2 straight
SF: 9-3 this sample, lost 1 straight
Elo Rating
TEN: 1478.5 · SF: 1546.3
Head-to-Head
SF 1 – 1 TEN (2 meetings)
Prediction Insights
SF is favoured on team strength — rated 68 Elo points higher than TEN from recent completed games.
Model spread: SF -5 (home-field Elo folded in).
Educational estimate — not betting advice.