Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-08-04T18:00:00

Match Context

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters come into this game at 45-43, on a 1-game losing streak. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks sit at 51-32, on a 2-game winning streak.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks carry a 1570.2 Elo rating to Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters's 1522.5, a gap of 48.0 points.

These two have met 213 times in the data this model was trained on, with Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks winning 122 to Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters's 91.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from this season's actual game results -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters win: 42.2%

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win: 57.8%

Predicted winner: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Total Runs

Over 7.5

Model confidence: 52.9%

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters: Over 3.5 (50.0%) · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Under 4.5 (53.4%)

Form & Streak

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters: 45-43 this season, lost 1 straight

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: 51-32 this season, won 2 straight

Elo Rating

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters: 1522.5 · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: 1570.2

Head-to-Head

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 122 – 91 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (213 meetings)

Prediction Insights

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks is favoured on team strength -- rated 48 Elo points higher based on results over recent seasons.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks leads the head-to-head series 122-91 across their last 213 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.