Chiba Lotte Marines vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-08-11T14:00:00

Match Context

Chiba Lotte Marines come into this game at 36-44, on a 1-game losing streak. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks sit at 51-32, on a 2-game winning streak.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks carry a 1570.2 Elo rating to Chiba Lotte Marines's 1467.0, a gap of 103.0 points.

These two have met 214 times in the data this model was trained on, with Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks winning 114 to Chiba Lotte Marines's 100.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from this season's actual game results -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

Chiba Lotte Marines win: 41.9%

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win: 58.1%

Predicted winner: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Total Runs

Over 7.5

Model confidence: 53.9%

Chiba Lotte Marines: Under 3.5 (51.9%) · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Over 4.5 (50.3%)

Form & Streak

Chiba Lotte Marines: 36-44 this season, lost 1 straight

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: 51-32 this season, won 2 straight

Elo Rating

Chiba Lotte Marines: 1467.0 · Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: 1570.2

Head-to-Head

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 114 – 100 Chiba Lotte Marines (214 meetings)

Prediction Insights

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks is favoured on team strength -- rated 103 Elo points higher based on results over recent seasons.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks leads the head-to-head series 114-100 across their last 214 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.