← Back to fixtures

Chunichi Dragons vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Win Probability

Chunichi Dragons win: 48.6%

Tokyo Yakult Swallows win: 51.4%

Predicted winner: Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Total Runs

7.1

Likely range: 5.6 – 8.6

Chunichi Dragons: 3.76 · Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 3.37

Form & Streak

Chunichi Dragons: 29-43 this season, lost 1 straight

Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 36-35 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

Chunichi Dragons: 1463.2 · Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 1477.2

Head-to-Head

Tokyo Yakult Swallows 98 – 113 Chunichi Dragons (211 meetings)

Prediction Insights

Tokyo Yakult Swallows is a slight favourite, but no single signal (Elo, head-to-head, or streak) shows a clear separation -- this one looks close.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.