Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Win Probability
Hiroshima Toyo Carp win: 49.7%
Tokyo Yakult Swallows win: 50.3%
Predicted winner: Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Total Runs
7.2
Likely range: 5.7 – 8.7
Hiroshima Toyo Carp: 3.63 · Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 3.54
Form & Streak
Hiroshima Toyo Carp: 29-36 this season, won 1 straight
Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 36-35 this season, won 1 straight
Elo Rating
Hiroshima Toyo Carp: 1470.2 · Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 1477.2
Head-to-Head
Tokyo Yakult Swallows 98 – 114 Hiroshima Toyo Carp (212 meetings)
Prediction Insights
Tokyo Yakult Swallows is a slight favourite, but no single signal (Elo, head-to-head, or streak) shows a clear separation -- this one looks close.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.