Hanshin Tigers vs Yokohama DeNA BayStars

2026-08-04T17:45:00

Match Context

Hanshin Tigers come into this game at 50-32, on a 2-game winning streak. Yokohama DeNA BayStars sit at 41-40, on a 1-game losing streak.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars carry a 1508.9 Elo rating to Hanshin Tigers's 1564.4, a gap of 56.0 points.

These two have met 214 times in the data this model was trained on, with Yokohama DeNA BayStars winning 91 to Hanshin Tigers's 123.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from this season's actual game results -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

Hanshin Tigers win: 52.3%

Yokohama DeNA BayStars win: 47.7%

Predicted winner: Hanshin Tigers

Total Runs

Under 7.5

Model confidence: 51.9%

Hanshin Tigers: Over 3.5 (52.5%) · Yokohama DeNA BayStars: Over 3.5 (51.1%)

Form & Streak

Hanshin Tigers: 50-32 this season, won 2 straight

Yokohama DeNA BayStars: 41-40 this season, lost 1 straight

Elo Rating

Hanshin Tigers: 1564.4 · Yokohama DeNA BayStars: 1508.9

Head-to-Head

Yokohama DeNA BayStars 91 – 123 Hanshin Tigers (214 meetings)

Prediction Insights

This is a coin-flip moneyline (Hanshin Tigers 52% / Yokohama DeNA BayStars 48%). Underdog Yokohama DeNA BayStars is live — winner markets are noisy in NPB; prefer totals or team runs.

Hanshin Tigers is favoured on team strength -- rated 56 Elo points higher based on results over recent seasons.

Hanshin Tigers leads the head-to-head series 123-91 across their last 214 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.