Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

2026-08-02T16:00:00

Match Context

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks come into this game at 51-32, on a 2-game winning streak. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles sit at 34-47, on a 2-game losing streak.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles carry a 1468.1 Elo rating to Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks's 1570.2, a gap of 102.0 points.

These two have met 216 times in the data this model was trained on, with Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles winning 92 to Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks's 124.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from this season's actual game results -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win: 57.5%

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles win: 42.5%

Predicted winner: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Total Runs

Over 7.5

Model confidence: 52.9%

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: Over 4.5 (51.1%) · Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles: Under 3.5 (54.1%)

Form & Streak

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: 51-32 this season, won 2 straight

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles: 34-47 this season, lost 2 straight

Elo Rating

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks: 1570.2 · Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles: 1468.1

Head-to-Head

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles 92 – 124 Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (216 meetings)

Prediction Insights

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks is favoured on team strength -- rated 102 Elo points higher based on results over recent seasons.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks leads the head-to-head series 124-92 across their last 216 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.