Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi Dragons
Win Probability
Tokyo Yakult Swallows win: 48.8%
Chunichi Dragons win: 51.2%
Predicted winner: Chunichi Dragons
Total Runs
Over 6.5
Model confidence: 65.5%
Tokyo Yakult Swallows: Over 2.5 (78.8%) · Chunichi Dragons: Over 3.5 (58.6%)
Form & Streak
Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 37-35 this season, won 2 straight
Chunichi Dragons: 30-43 this season, won 1 straight
Elo Rating
Tokyo Yakult Swallows: 1479.1 · Chunichi Dragons: 1465.3
Head-to-Head
Chunichi Dragons 101 – 110 Tokyo Yakult Swallows (211 meetings)
Prediction Insights
Chunichi Dragons is a slight favourite, but no single signal (Elo, head-to-head, or streak) shows a clear separation -- this one looks close.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.