Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers

2026-08-09T18:00:00

Match Context

Chunichi Dragons come into this game at 38-47, on a 1-game winning streak. Hanshin Tigers sit at 50-32, on a 2-game winning streak.

Hanshin Tigers carry a 1564.4 Elo rating to Chunichi Dragons's 1475.6, a gap of 89.0 points.

These two have met 218 times in the data this model was trained on, with Hanshin Tigers winning 117 to Chunichi Dragons's 101.

Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from this season's actual game results -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.

Win Probability

Chunichi Dragons win: 43.0%

Hanshin Tigers win: 57.0%

Predicted winner: Hanshin Tigers

Total Runs

Over 6.5

Model confidence: 52.9%

Chunichi Dragons: Under 3.5 (53.0%) · Hanshin Tigers: Under 3.5 (50.1%)

Form & Streak

Chunichi Dragons: 38-47 this season, won 1 straight

Hanshin Tigers: 50-32 this season, won 2 straight

Elo Rating

Chunichi Dragons: 1475.6 · Hanshin Tigers: 1564.4

Head-to-Head

Hanshin Tigers 117 – 101 Chunichi Dragons (218 meetings)

Prediction Insights

Hanshin Tigers is favoured on team strength -- rated 89 Elo points higher based on results over recent seasons.
Hanshin Tigers leads the head-to-head series 117-101 across their last 218 meetings.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.