4 vs 6
Win Probability
4 win: 47.8%
6 win: 52.2%
Predicted winner: Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Total Runs
7.0
Likely range: 5.5 – 8.5
4: 3.62 · 6: 3.33
Form & Streak
4: 29-43 this season, lost 1 straight
6: 29-36 this season, won 1 straight
Elo Rating
4: 1463.2 · 6: 1470.2
Head-to-Head
6 104 – 108 4 (212 meetings)
Prediction Insights
Hiroshima Toyo Carp is a slight favourite, but no single signal (Elo, head-to-head, or streak) shows a clear separation -- this one looks close.
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.