← Back to fixtures

Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Win Probability

Chunichi Dragons win: 47.8%

Hiroshima Toyo Carp win: 52.2%

Predicted winner: Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Total Runs

7.0

Likely range: 5.5 – 8.5

Chunichi Dragons: 3.62 · Hiroshima Toyo Carp: 3.33

Form & Streak

Chunichi Dragons: 29-43 this season, lost 1 straight

Hiroshima Toyo Carp: 29-36 this season, won 1 straight

Elo Rating

Chunichi Dragons: 1463.2 · Hiroshima Toyo Carp: 1470.2

Head-to-Head

Hiroshima Toyo Carp 104 – 108 Chunichi Dragons (212 meetings)

Prediction Insights

Hiroshima Toyo Carp is a slight favourite, but no single signal (Elo, head-to-head, or streak) shows a clear separation -- this one looks close.

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.