Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte Marines
2026-08-05T18:00:00
Match Context
Saitama Seibu Lions come into this game at 43-42, on a 1-game winning streak. Chiba Lotte Marines sit at 36-44, on a 1-game losing streak.
Chiba Lotte Marines carry a 1467.0 Elo rating to Saitama Seibu Lions's 1477.2, a gap of 10.0 points.
These two have met 214 times in the data this model was trained on, with Chiba Lotte Marines winning 104 to Saitama Seibu Lions's 110.
Season records, streaks, Elo, and head-to-head are computed directly from this season's actual game results -- the same inputs the prediction model uses, not a separate estimate.
Win Probability
Saitama Seibu Lions win: 48.7%
Chiba Lotte Marines win: 51.3%
Predicted winner: Chiba Lotte Marines
Total Runs
Under 7.5
Model confidence: 51.0%
Saitama Seibu Lions: Over 3.5 (52.7%) · Chiba Lotte Marines: Over 3.5 (52.5%)
Form & Streak
Saitama Seibu Lions: 43-42 this season, won 1 straight
Chiba Lotte Marines: 36-44 this season, lost 1 straight
Elo Rating
Saitama Seibu Lions: 1477.2 · Chiba Lotte Marines: 1467.0
Head-to-Head
Chiba Lotte Marines 104 – 110 Saitama Seibu Lions (214 meetings)
Prediction Insights
These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes -- baseball has very high inherent variance, and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.