← Back to fixtures

Brentford vs Fulham

Sat 24 Apr 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 33 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Brentford win: 41.6%

Draw: 29.0%

Fulham win: 29.4%

Predicted: Brentford

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 67.8%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 65.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.22

More corners: Fulham (45.9% home / 54.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Brentford

Yes

Probability Brentford wins or draws: 71.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Brentford Clearest lean of the available outcomes (42% vs next-best 29%). (42.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (68.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (65.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Brentford win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (72.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.