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Brentford vs Ipswich

Wed 03 Mar 2027, 20:00 UTC · Round 28 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Brentford win: 51.1%

Draw: 26.0%

Ipswich win: 22.9%

Predicted: Brentford

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 53.4%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 58.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.47

More corners: Brentford (62.0% home / 38.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Brentford

Yes

Probability Brentford wins or draws: 80.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Brentford Clearest lean of the available outcomes (51% vs next-best 26%). (51.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Over 2.5 (59.0% model probability) High

Corners Brentford (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Brentford win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (80.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.