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Everton vs Coventry

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 10 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Everton win: 41.0%

Draw: 25.2%

Coventry win: 33.8%

Predicted: Everton

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 53.1%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.5%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.96

More corners: Everton (53.7% home / 46.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Everton

Yes

Probability Everton wins or draws: 77.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (41.0% model probability) Low

Favorite Avoids Defeat Everton win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (78.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.