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Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Sat 05 Sep 2026, 14:00 UTC · Round 3 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Fulham win: 49.5%

Draw: 23.5%

Crystal Palace win: 27.0%

Predicted: Fulham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 54.6%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 55.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.17

More corners: Fulham (69.6% home / 30.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Fulham

Yes

Probability Fulham wins or draws: 62.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Fulham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (50% vs next-best 27%). (50.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Over 2.5 (55.0% model probability) High

Corners Fulham (more corners) (70.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Fulham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (62.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.