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Fulham vs Leeds

Sat 27 Feb 2027, 15:00 UTC · Round 27 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Fulham win: 47.2%

Draw: 22.0%

Leeds win: 30.8%

Predicted: Fulham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 55.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 57.3%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.62

More corners: Fulham (70.8% home / 29.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Fulham

Yes

Probability Fulham wins or draws: 64.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Fulham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (47% vs next-best 31%). (47.0% model probability) Medium

Both Teams to Score Yes (55.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (57.0% model probability) High

Corners Fulham (more corners) (71.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Fulham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (64.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.