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Fulham vs Sunderland

Sat 17 Apr 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 32 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Fulham win: 44.8%

Draw: 26.7%

Sunderland win: 28.5%

Predicted: Fulham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 50.4%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.35

More corners: Fulham (62.0% home / 38.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Fulham

Yes

Probability Fulham wins or draws: 69.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Fulham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (45% vs next-best 28%). (45.0% model probability) Low

Corners Fulham (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Fulham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (70.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.