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Fulham vs Tottenham

Wed 06 Jan 2027, 20:00 UTC · Round 20 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Fulham win: 36.6%

Draw: 25.7%

Tottenham win: 37.8%

Predicted: Tottenham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 54.1%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 61.1%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.91

More corners: Fulham (58.6% home / 41.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Fulham

Yes

Probability Fulham wins or draws: 73.0%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Total Goals Over 2.5 (61.0% model probability) High

Corners Fulham (more corners) (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Fulham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (73.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.