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Hull vs Ipswich

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 9 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Hull win: 40.2%

Draw: 33.1%

Ipswich win: 26.7%

Predicted: Hull

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 46.2%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 33.6%

Corners

Expected total corners: 11.3

More corners: Hull (63.3% home / 36.7% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Hull

Yes

Probability Hull wins or draws: 75.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (40.0% model probability) Low

Total Goals Under 2.5 (66.0% model probability) High

Corners Hull (more corners) (63.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Hull win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (76.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.