← Back to fixtures

Ipswich vs Arsenal

Wed 10 Feb 2027, 20:00 UTC · Round 25 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ipswich win: 15.4%

Draw: 19.0%

Arsenal win: 65.6%

Predicted: Arsenal

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 49.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 53.6%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.14

More corners: Arsenal (23.7% home / 76.3% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Arsenal

Yes

Probability Arsenal wins or draws: 84.6%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Arsenal Clearest lean of the available outcomes (66% vs next-best 19%). (66.0% model probability) High

Corners Arsenal (more corners) (76.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Arsenal win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (85.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.