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Ipswich vs Fulham

Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Round 6 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ipswich win: 25.0%

Draw: 27.5%

Fulham win: 47.5%

Predicted: Fulham

Both Teams to Score

Probability of Yes: 48.8%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 52.1%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.17

More corners: Fulham (33.5% home / 66.5% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Fulham

Yes

Probability Fulham wins or draws: 70.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Fulham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (48% vs next-best 28%). (48.0% model probability) Medium

Corners Fulham (more corners) (66.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Fulham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (70.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.