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Ipswich vs Tottenham

Sat 06 Feb 2027, 15:00 UTC · Round 24 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Ipswich win: 22.5%

Draw: 25.1%

Tottenham win: 52.3%

Predicted: Tottenham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 54.6%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 55.1%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.22

More corners: Tottenham (37.6% home / 62.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Tottenham

Yes

Probability Tottenham wins or draws: 75.1%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Tottenham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (52% vs next-best 25%). (52.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Over 2.5 (55.0% model probability) High

Corners Tottenham (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Tottenham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (75.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.