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Leeds vs Ipswich

Sat 05 Dec 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 14 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Leeds win: 50.5%

Draw: 24.9%

Ipswich win: 24.6%

Predicted: Leeds

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 51.1%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.7%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.4

More corners: Leeds (61.1% home / 38.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Leeds

Yes

Probability Leeds wins or draws: 79.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Leeds Clearest lean of the available outcomes (50% vs next-best 25%). (50.0% model probability) Medium

Corners Leeds (more corners) (61.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Leeds win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (79.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.