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Leeds vs Tottenham

Sat 07 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 10 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Leeds win: 36.2%

Draw: 25.0%

Tottenham win: 38.8%

Predicted: Tottenham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 60.4%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 62.5%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.98

More corners: Tottenham (48.3% home / 51.7% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Leeds

Yes

Probability Leeds wins or draws: 74.7%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (39.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (60.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Leeds win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (75.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.