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Liverpool vs Hull

Sat 20 Feb 2027, 15:00 UTC · Round 26 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Liverpool win: 50.4%

Draw: 23.8%

Hull win: 25.8%

Predicted: Liverpool

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 51.1%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.49

More corners: Liverpool (65.8% home / 34.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Liverpool

Yes

Probability Liverpool wins or draws: 75.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Liverpool Clearest lean of the available outcomes (50% vs next-best 26%). (50.0% model probability) Medium

Corners Liverpool (more corners) (66.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Liverpool win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (76.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.