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Liverpool vs Tottenham

Sat 19 Dec 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 16 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Liverpool win: 45.8%

Draw: 24.7%

Tottenham win: 29.4%

Predicted: Liverpool

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 53.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 68.0%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.96

More corners: Liverpool (63.1% home / 36.9% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Liverpool

Yes

Probability Liverpool wins or draws: 78.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Liverpool Clearest lean of the available outcomes (46% vs next-best 29%). (46.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Over 2.5 (68.0% model probability) High

Corners Liverpool (more corners) (63.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Liverpool win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (78.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.