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Nott'm Forest vs Fulham

Sat 02 Jan 2027, 15:00 UTC · Round 19 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Nott'm Forest win: 37.6%

Draw: 30.0%

Fulham win: 32.3%

Predicted: Nott'm Forest

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 64.9%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 63.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.06

More corners: Fulham (47.4% home / 52.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Nott'm Forest

Yes

Probability Nott'm Forest wins or draws: 72.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (65.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (64.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Nott'm Forest win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (72.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.