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Sunderland vs Ipswich

Sat 10 Apr 2027, 14:00 UTC · Round 31 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Sunderland win: 43.2%

Draw: 29.1%

Ipswich win: 27.7%

Predicted: Sunderland

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 54.2%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 47.9%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.37

More corners: Sunderland (62.5% home / 37.5% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Sunderland

Yes

Probability Sunderland wins or draws: 76.4%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Sunderland Clearest lean of the available outcomes (43% vs next-best 29%). (43.0% model probability) Low

Corners Sunderland (more corners) (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Sunderland win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (76.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.