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Tottenham vs Coventry

Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Round 7 · Data confidence: Low (promoted/new team)

Match Result (1X2)

Tottenham win: 39.2%

Draw: 25.9%

Coventry win: 34.9%

Predicted: Tottenham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 57.4%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 61.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.55

More corners: Tottenham (61.0% home / 39.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Coventry

Yes

Probability Coventry wins or draws: 65.3%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (39.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (57.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (61.0% model probability) High

Corners Tottenham (more corners) (61.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Coventry win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (65.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.