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Tottenham vs Ipswich

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC · Round 11 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Tottenham win: 48.7%

Draw: 25.0%

Ipswich win: 26.3%

Predicted: Tottenham

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 50.5%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 61.5%

Corners

Expected total corners: 10.44

More corners: Tottenham (70.0% home / 30.0% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Tottenham

Yes

Probability Tottenham wins or draws: 70.6%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Tottenham Clearest lean of the available outcomes (49% vs next-best 26%). (49.0% model probability) Medium

Total Goals Over 2.5 (62.0% model probability) High

Corners Tottenham (more corners) (70.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Tottenham win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (71.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.