← Back to fixtures

Atalanta vs Inter

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC · Round 12 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Atalanta win: 15.6%

Draw: 26.1%

Inter win: 58.3%

Predicted: Inter

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 62.0%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 54.2%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.53

More corners: Atalanta (50.8% home / 49.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Inter

Yes

Probability Inter wins or draws: 76.9%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Inter Clearest lean of the available outcomes (58% vs next-best 26%). (58.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score Yes (62.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Inter win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (77.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.