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Frosinone vs Juventus

Sun 23 Aug 2026, 16:30 UTC · Round 1 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Frosinone win: 15.5%

Draw: 23.3%

Juventus win: 61.2%

Predicted: Juventus

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 57.2%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 65.4%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.39

More corners: Juventus (41.8% home / 58.2% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Juventus

Yes

Probability Juventus wins or draws: 79.8%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Juventus Clearest lean of the available outcomes (61% vs next-best 23%). (61.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score Yes (57.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (65.0% model probability) High

Corners Juventus (more corners) (58.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Juventus win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (80.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.