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Inter vs Juventus

Sat 09 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 19 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Inter win: 37.7%

Draw: 27.5%

Juventus win: 34.9%

Predicted: Inter

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 61.3%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 65.6%

Corners

Expected total corners: 8.9

More corners: Inter (63.6% home / 36.4% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Inter

Yes

Probability Inter wins or draws: 71.5%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (38.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (61.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (66.0% model probability) High

Corners Inter (more corners) (64.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Inter win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (72.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.