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Juventus vs Bologna

Sat 20 Feb 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 25 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Juventus win: 55.6%

Draw: 26.9%

Bologna win: 17.5%

Predicted: Juventus

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 63.7%

Total Goals

Over 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 56.3%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.89

More corners: Juventus (69.9% home / 30.1% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Juventus

Yes

Probability Juventus wins or draws: 77.2%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result Juventus Clearest lean of the available outcomes (56% vs next-best 27%). (56.0% model probability) High

Both Teams to Score Yes (64.0% model probability) High

Total Goals Over 2.5 (56.0% model probability) High

Corners Juventus (more corners) (70.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Juventus win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (77.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.